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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Ayr United

Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Ayr

Murray (7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maxwell (14'), Reading (80')
Murdoch (23'), McInroy (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Ayr United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 71.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawAyr United
71.51%17.85%10.64%
Both teams to score 45.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04%43.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65%66.35%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.04%10.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.8%35.2%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.18%48.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.18%83.82%
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 71.5%
    Ayr United 10.64%
    Draw 17.85%
KilmarnockDrawAyr United
2-0 @ 13.07%
1-0 @ 11.83%
3-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 6.91%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-0 @ 2.36%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 71.5%
1-1 @ 8.49%
0-0 @ 5.35%
2-2 @ 3.36%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.85%
0-1 @ 3.84%
1-2 @ 3.04%
0-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 10.64%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Ayr

Kilmarnock
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Ayr United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ayr
0-1
Kilmarnock

Reading (25'), Adeloye (68')
Shaw (89' pen.)
McGowan (45+2'), Murray (80'), Shaw (90')
Aug 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Kilmarnock
2-0
Ayr
Polworth (56'), Cameron (86' pen.)
Stokes (45+1'), Lyons (88')

Adeloye (31'), Houston (41'), Salkeld (71'), Baird (85')
Jul 14, 2017 7.45pm
Group stage
Ayr
1-0
Kilmarnock
Geggan (39')
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Second Round
Kilmarnock
1-0
Ayr
McKenzie (69')
Chantler (57'), Hamill (88')

Devlin (8'), Campbell (44'), McLaughlin (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk19133337172042
2Livingston19106325131236
3Ayr UnitedAyr19105429171235
4Partick ThistlePartick1895422121032
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park197482122-125
6Raith Rovers187381923-424
7Hamilton AcademicalHamilton186392632-621
8Greenock MortonMorton184861521-620
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline1944111725-816
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians1913151039-296


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