Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.