Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.