Scottish Championship | Gameweek 23

Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 2
Dundee Utd

Murphy (2')
Dowds (31'), Stanger (55'), Dempsey (56')
Stanger (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Watt (67'), Docherty (82')
Grimshaw (1'), Holt (29'), Middleton (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dundee United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 Ayr
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee United

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Dundee United
24.84% ( -0.54)	25.6% ( 0.27)	49.55% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 49.88% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.8% (

-1.47)

53.2% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.24% (

-1.26)

74.76% (

1.26)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.53% (

-1.27)

36.47% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.74% (

-1.3)

73.26% (

1.31)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51% (

-0.48)

21.49% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47% (

-0.74)

54.53% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 24.84%

Dundee United 49.55%

Draw 25.6%

Ayr United	Draw	Dundee United
1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.84%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.55%