Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.