Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.