Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
64.38% ( 0.51) | 19.58% ( -0.22) | 16.04% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61% ( 0.45) | 38.99% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.69% ( 0.47) | 61.31% ( -0.47) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.56% ( 0.27) | 11.44% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.76% ( 0.58) | 36.23% ( -0.58) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% ( -0.09) | 37.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.83% ( -0.08) | 74.16% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.13% Total : 64.38% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 16.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |