MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:03:35| >> :60:331:331:
Dundee United
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tannadice Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Dundee Utd
3 - 0
Dunfermline

Moult (18'), Comrie (34' og.), Glass (37')
Tillson (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Dundee United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Inverness 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
53.49% (0.12 0.12) 23.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.77% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-0.107 -0.11)47.55% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-0.1 -0.1)69.76% (0.101 0.1)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (0.010000000000005 0.01)48.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-0.166 -0.17)35.22% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-0.174 -0.17)71.97% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 53.48%
    Dunfermline Athletic 22.77%
    Draw 23.73%
Dundee UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 22.77%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dundee Utd
1-1
Dunfermline
Cudjoe (90+5')
Wighton (61')
Hamilton (9'), Fisher (90+2')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 34
Dundee Utd
P-P
Dunfermline
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Dunfermline
2-0
Dundee Utd
Nisbet (26'), Afolabi (60')
Afolabi (61'), Devine (90')

McNeil (86'), (90'), Smith (90')
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dundee Utd
2-0
Dunfermline
Shankland (9'), Clark (27')
Smith (17')

Ashcroft (56')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Dunfermline
0-2
Dundee Utd

Turner (76')
Shankland (10', 30')
Smith (70'), Stanton (80'), Butcher (87')
rhs 2.0
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