MX23RW : Monday, February 3 13:22:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr
2 - 2
Dunfermline

McGeady (41'), Musonda (63')
Ahui (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jakubiak (3', 9')
Wighton (62'), Edwards (86')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 4-4 Ayr
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
40.31% (-0.595 -0.59) 25.94% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 33.75% (0.629 0.63)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.291 0.29)50.25% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (0.259 0.26)72.21% (-0.261 -0.26)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (-0.178 -0.18)24.59% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (-0.252 -0.25)59.09% (0.248 0.25)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.542 0.54)28.34% (-0.545 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.681 0.68)64.07% (-0.68300000000001 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 40.31%
    Dunfermline Athletic 33.75%
    Draw 25.94%
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Ayr vs Dunfermline

Ayr United
28.6%
Draw
35.7%
Dunfermline Athletic
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dunfermline
0-1
Ayr
Chalmers (10')
Ahui (90+1')
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Dunfermline
2-1
Ayr
Cole (79'), Todorov (86')
O'Hara (37'), Polworth (68'), Pybus (86')
Muirhead (35' pen.)
Muirhead (78')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ayr
1-1
Dunfermline
Martin (17' og.)
McGinty (32'), Dempsey (39'), Murdoch (79')
Donaldson (10')
Chalmers (46'), Pybus (54'), Donaldson (68')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dunfermline
3-0
Ayr
McCann (14', 52'), Dow (40')
McCann (41')

Fjortoft (15')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
3-1
Dunfermline
Adeloye (3', 63'), Salkeld (25')
Murdoch (39'), Albinson (76')
Todorov (28')
Graham (78'), Todorov (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ayr UnitedAyr23145438182047
2FalkirkFalkirk22144440192146
3Livingston23136432171545
4Partick ThistlePartick2310672923636
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park2385102526-129
6Greenock MortonMorton216962125-427
7Raith Rovers2283112331-827
8Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline2364132432-822
9Hamilton AcademicalHamilton2263132742-1521
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians2233161642-2612


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