Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.