Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
35.93% ( -0.01) | 25.09% | 38.97% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% ( 0.01) | 46.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( 0.01) | 68.43% ( -0.01) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( -0.01) | 25.07% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( -0.01) | 59.76% ( 0) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( 0.01) | 23.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% ( 0.01) | 57.45% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 18 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Livingston | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
5 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
6 | Partick ThistlePartick | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 4 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |