Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.