Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
48.95% ( -0.31) | 25.69% ( 0.22) | 25.35% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.07% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( -0.78) | 53.17% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( -0.66) | 74.74% ( 0.66) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% ( -0.45) | 21.74% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.08% ( -0.7) | 54.92% ( 0.7) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.98% ( -0.34) | 36.01% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.2% ( -0.36) | 72.79% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |