Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.