Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.