Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.