Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Raith Rovers in this match.