Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.