Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8

Sep 19, 2020 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 1
Hamilton

Kiltie (10'), Kabamba (57')
Tshibola (90+6')
Brophy (23')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Odofin (18')
Want (28'), Ogboe (45'), Mimnaugh (78')

Alex Dyer delighted with 10-man Kilmarnock after Hamilton win

Brophy was sent off in the 23rd minute.

Sep 19, 19:10

The Match

Match Report

Despite losing Brophy in the 23rd minute, Killie battled valiantly to secure all three points.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hamilton Academical
54.2%	24.84%	20.95%

Both teams to score 47.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.11%

53.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.65%

75.35%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16%

19.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.06%

51.94%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.41%

40.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.82%

77.18%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 54.2%

Hamilton Academical 20.95%

Draw 24.84%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 13.02% 2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.74% Total : 54.2%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.29% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.95%