Scottish Championship | Gameweek 17

Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
2 - 0
Raith Rovers

Mullin (31', 70')
Chalmers (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Inverness 2-2 Ayr
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Raith Rovers 2-5 Queen's Park
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Raith Rovers
49.34% ( -1.28)	25.49% ( 0.25)	25.17% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 50.52% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.49% (

-0.16)

52.5% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.82% (

-0.14)

74.17% (

0.14)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

-0.61)

21.3% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.76% (

-0.95)

54.24% (

0.95)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.19% (

0.81)

35.8% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.42% (

0.83)

72.58% (

-0.83)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 49.33%

Raith Rovers 25.17%

Draw 25.48%

Ayr United	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 49.33%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.17%