Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.