Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.