Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
41.78% ( 0.15) | 25.01% ( -0.01) | 33.22% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.74% ( -0.01) | 46.26% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.44% ( -0) | 68.55% ( 0) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( 0.06) | 22.11% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( 0.1) | 55.47% ( -0.1) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% ( -0.09) | 26.73% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38% ( -0.12) | 62% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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