Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
52.24% ( -0.02) | 22.77% ( 0.03) | 24.99% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.17% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% ( -0.17) | 41.01% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% ( -0.17) | 63.4% ( 0.16) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.23% ( -0.07) | 15.77% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.1% ( -0.12) | 44.9% ( 0.12) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.25% ( -0.1) | 29.75% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( -0.12) | 65.82% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 41 |
3 | Livingston | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 39 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 24 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 23 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |