Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
35.93% ( 0.06) | 26.56% ( -0.16) | 37.51% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.43% ( 0.65) | 52.57% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.77% ( 0.55) | 74.23% ( -0.55) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( 0.35) | 28.12% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.2% ( 0.44) | 63.8% ( -0.44) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( 0.36) | 27.19% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( 0.47) | 62.6% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 42 |
2 | Livingston | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 35 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 32 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 24 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 21 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 20 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 16 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |