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World Cup
China national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 12am UK
Guangxi Sports Center
Australia national football team

China
vs.
Australia

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between China and Australia.

Form, Standings, Stats

China

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-1 China
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. China
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

All competitions
Last Game: Australia 0-0 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. Indonesia
Thursday, March 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Australia win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for China has a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.05%), while for a China win it is 1-0 (6.31%).

Result
ChinaDrawAustralia
18.09% (0.703 0.7) 23.32% (0.475 0.47) 58.58% (-1.185 -1.19)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.829 -0.83)51.61% (0.823 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (-0.727 -0.73)73.4% (0.721 0.72)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.55% (0.364 0.36)42.44% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.18% (0.312 0.31)78.82% (-0.318 -0.32)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.712 -0.71)17.33% (0.705 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (-1.259 -1.26)47.72% (1.254 1.25)
Score Analysis
    China 18.09%
    Australia 58.57%
    Draw 23.32%
ChinaDrawAustralia
1-0 @ 6.31% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 4.74% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 2.7% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.35% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.09%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.239 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.32%
0-1 @ 12.89% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 11.29% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.6% (-0.252 -0.25)
1-3 @ 5.66% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-4 @ 2.89% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.57%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 10.10am
Third Round
Australia
3-1
China
Miller (45+2'), Goodwin (53'), Velupillay (90+2')
Wenneng (20')
Lei (36'), Shangyuan (66')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
China
1-1
Australia
Lei (71' pen.)
Aloisio (41'), Zhang (90+4')
Duke (38')
Hrustic (50'), Degenek (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 7pm
Third Round
Australia
3-0
China
Mabil (24'), Boyle (26'), Duke (70')
Hrustic (81')

Shenchao (67'), Hongbo (71')
> Preview
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