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World Cup
Japan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 10.35am UK
 
Saudi Arabia national football team

Japan
vs.
Saudi Arabia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Japan and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 2-0 Bahrain
Thursday, March 20 at 10.35am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Australia vs. Japan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-0 China
Thursday, March 20 at 6.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Bahrain vs. Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Japan 2-1 Saudi Arabia

 Saudi Arabia will be desperate to pick up a positive result to boost their World Cup qualification hopes, but we think that they will find it difficult to take anything from Tuesday's fixture, considering that Japan have won 12 of their 13 matches in the current qualifying cycle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Japan win with a probability of 65.52%. A draw has a probability of 19.1% and a win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win is 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it is 1-2 (4.35%).

Result
JapanDrawSaudi Arabia
65.52% (2.041 2.04) 19.06% (-0.897 -0.9) 15.42% (-1.142 -1.14)
Both teams to score 55.84% (0.506 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.22% (1.946 1.95)37.78% (-1.943 -1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.97% (2.053 2.05)60.03% (-2.05 -2.05)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.21% (1.109 1.11)10.79% (-1.106 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.19% (2.411 2.41)34.81% (-2.407 -2.41)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.6% (-0.211 -0.21)37.4% (0.21400000000001 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.81% (-0.21 -0.21)74.18% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Japan 65.51%
    Saudi Arabia 15.42%
    Draw 19.06%
JapanDrawSaudi Arabia
2-0 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.433 -0.43)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.31 0.31)
3-1 @ 7.3% (0.264 0.26)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.346 0.35)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.319 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.11 0.11)
4-2 @ 2% (0.146 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.84% (0.228 0.23)
5-1 @ 1.81% (0.215 0.22)
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 65.51%
1-1 @ 8.84% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.06%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-1 @ 3.97% (-0.407 -0.41)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 15.42%

How you voted: Japan vs Saudi Arabia

Japan
83.8%
Draw
14.7%
Saudi Arabia
1.5%
68
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