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World Cup
North Korea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 25, 2025 at 6.15pm UK
 
United Arab Emirates national football team

North Korea
vs.
UAE

FT
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Third Round clash between North Korea and United Arab Emirates.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Korea

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Qatar 5-1 North Korea
Thursday, March 20 at 6.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: North Korea vs. Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 2-0 UAE
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: UAE vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, June 5 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for North Korea has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest North Korea win is 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).

Result
North KoreaDrawUnited Arab Emirates
28.74% (4.842 4.84) 25.86% (1.954 1.95) 45.4% (-6.797 -6.8)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-1.955 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (-4.574 -4.57)51.72% (4.574 4.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-4.114 -4.11)73.49% (4.112 4.11)
North Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (1.476 1.48)32.52% (-1.477 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (1.624 1.62)69.05% (-1.623 -1.62)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (-4.69 -4.69)22.73% (4.692 4.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (-7.473 -7.47)56.41% (7.472 7.47)
Score Analysis
    North Korea 28.74%
    United Arab Emirates 45.4%
    Draw 25.86%
North KoreaDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 8.3% (1.686 1.69)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.796 0.8)
2-0 @ 4.66% (1.094 1.09)
3-1 @ 2.59% (0.389 0.39)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.463 0.46)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.74%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.97 0.97)
0-0 @ 7.39% (1.259 1.26)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 10.95% (0.45 0.45)
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.591 -0.59)
0-2 @ 8.11% (-0.882 -0.88)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-1.039 -1.04)
0-3 @ 4.01% (-1.129 -1.13)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.462 -0.46)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.706 -0.71)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.715 -0.72)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.344 -0.34)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 45.4%

How you voted: North Korea vs UAE

North Korea
25.0%
Draw
8.3%
United Arab Emirates
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 5pm
Third Round
UAE
1-1
North Korea
Al Ghassani (66')
Autonne (84'), Meloni (85')
Jong (86')
Hyok Kim (22')
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