Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for York City has a probability of 30.2% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest York City win is 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | York City |
44.74% ( 2.72) | 25.07% ( 0.3) | 30.2% ( -3.02) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( -2.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% ( -2.48) | 47.65% ( 2.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( -2.33) | 69.85% ( 2.33) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( 0.21) | 21.32% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% ( 0.32) | 54.27% ( -0.32) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% ( -3.17) | 29.37% ( 3.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( -4.06) | 65.36% ( 4.06) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 1.02) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.74% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.5) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.34) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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