World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Regional de Nyamirambo
Rwanda1 - 1Lesotho
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Rwanda and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Nigeria
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: South Africa 2-0 Lesotho
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Lesotho |
64.91% ( 0.29) | 22.44% ( -0.06) | 12.65% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 38.5% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.72% ( -0.19) | 57.27% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.88% ( -0.15) | 78.11% ( 0.15) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( 0.03) | 17.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.06) | 47.37% ( -0.06) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.46% ( -0.48) | 53.54% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.01% ( -0.31) | 86.99% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Rwanda 64.9%
Lesotho 12.65%
Draw 22.44%
| Rwanda | Draw | Lesotho |
| 1-0 @ 16.18% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 64.9% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.65% |
How you voted: Rwanda vs Lesotho
Rwanda
100%Draw
0.0%Lesotho
0.0%8
Head to Head
