World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Amahoro
Rwanda1 - 1Lesotho
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Rwanda and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rwanda 0-2 Nigeria
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Last Game: South Africa 2-0 Lesotho
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Lesotho |
64.91% ( 0.29) | 22.44% ( -0.06) | 12.65% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 38.5% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
