MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 19:53:03| >> :600:100095:100095:
Uganda national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Reunification
Guinea national football team

Uganda
1 - 0
Guinea

Okello (36')
Kayondo (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Camara (34')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Uganda and Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Uganda
Thursday, March 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea 0-0 Somalia
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uganda win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw has a probability of 30.1% and a win for Guinea has a probability of 28.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win is 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Guinea win it is 0-1 (11.55%).

Result
UgandaDrawGuinea
41.79% (0.785 0.78) 30.14% (-0.434 -0.43) 28.07% (-0.356 -0.36)
Both teams to score 40.2% (0.849 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.35% (1.106 1.11)66.64% (-1.11 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.97% (0.746 0.75)85.02% (-0.748 -0.75)
Uganda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (1.044 1.04)31.62% (-1.047 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (1.186 1.19)68.03% (-1.19 -1.19)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.346 0.35)41.21% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.305 0.31)77.74% (-0.31 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Uganda 41.79%
    Guinea 28.07%
    Draw 30.14%
UgandaDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 15% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.66% (0.195 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.156 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.79%
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 13.03% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-2 @ 3.39% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 30.14%
0-1 @ 11.55% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 28.07%

How you voted: Uganda vs Guinea

Uganda
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Guinea
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Guinea
2-1
Uganda
Camara (10'), Cisse (90+4')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Bayo (30')
Kayondo (37'), Byaruhanga (45'), B. (45'), Awany (60'), Dennis Awany (60'), Sentamu (75')
rhs 2.0
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