MX23RW : Monday, March 10 18:51:18| >> :600:207318:207318:
Dundee logo
Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2025 at 8pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee United

Dundee
1 - 0
Dundee Utd

Murray (2')
Ingram (70'), Cameron (70'), Sylla (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Cup clash between Dundee and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee 3-3 Celtic
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 1-2 Dundee United

The hosts have struggled in the Dundee derby in recent years, and with the visitors also enjoying a much better campaign to date, we believe Dundee Utd will win once again here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawDundee United
28.34% (-0.378 -0.38) 23.54% (0.276 0.28) 48.12% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.56% (-1.265 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (-1.542 -1.54)41.86% (1.54 1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74% (-1.571 -1.57)64.26% (1.569 1.57)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-1.045 -1.05)27.72% (1.042 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71% (-1.358 -1.36)63.28% (1.356 1.36)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (-0.55199999999999 -0.55)17.59% (0.55 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.83% (-0.967 -0.97)48.16% (0.965 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 28.34%
    Dundee United 48.12%
    Draw 23.54%
DundeeDrawDundee United
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.26% (0.249 0.25)
2-0 @ 4.01% (0.045 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.34%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.33 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.429 0.43)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.245 0.25)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.53% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 48.12%

How you voted: Dundee vs Dundee Utd

Dundee
23.1%
Draw
26.9%
Dundee United
50.0%
52
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dundee
1-2
Dundee Utd
Murray (61' pen.)
Graham (86')
Sevelj (65'), Dalby (88')
Docherty (32'), Dalby (89')
Aug 4, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dundee Utd
2-2
Dundee
Trapanovski (13'), Thomson (23')
Graham (78'), Gallagher (84')
Palmer-Houlden (18'), McCowan (79' pen.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Dundee Utd
2-2
Dundee
Clark (12'), Mulgrew (55')
Niskanen (35'), Watt (45+3'), Graham (58')
Mullen (59'), Adam (61')
Byrne (45+2'), Adam (45+3')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Dundee
0-0
Dundee Utd
Adam (61')
Sep 19, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee Utd
1-0
Dundee
Harkes (81')
Butcher (44'), Smith (64'), McMann (89'), Pawlett (90+2')

Ashcroft (21'), Byrne (77')
rhs 2.0
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