Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath3 - 0Montrose
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Arbroath and Montrose.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forfar 3-1 Arbroath
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 1-1 Montrose (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Montrose |
48.12% ( 0.01) | 24.44% ( 0.05) | 27.44% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.79% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( -0.23) | 46.51% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( -0.22) | 68.79% ( 0.22) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( -0.08) | 19.4% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( -0.14) | 51.22% ( 0.14) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% ( -0.16) | 30.77% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% ( -0.19) | 67.04% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath 48.12%
Montrose 27.44%
Draw 24.43%
Arbroath | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.44% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-01 02:19:45
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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