Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 23.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
53.73% ( -0.08) | 23.13% ( 0.02) | 23.14% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.48% ( -0.02) | 44.52% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.11% ( -0.02) | 66.89% ( 0.02) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% ( -0.03) | 16.51% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.74% ( -0.06) | 46.26% ( 0.07) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.79% ( 0.04) | 33.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.18% ( 0.04) | 69.82% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |