Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.