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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Dundee United

Hearts
4 - 1
Dundee Utd

Shankland (1'), McKay (48'), Grant (62'), Ginnelly (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fletcher (71' pen.)
Cudjoe (19'), McGrath (54'), Graham (64'), Edwards (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:
Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 7 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee United

Last Six:
Last Game: AZ 7-0 Dundee Utd
Thursday, August 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Hearts 2-1 Dundee United

 Although Hearts were denied a derby day victory, they will be pleased with four points from their opening two games, and we think that they will record their second win of the season against a Dundee United side who will be low on confidence after Thursday's performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawDundee United
63.84% (5.518 5.52) 21.47% (-2.451 -2.45) 14.68% (-3.071 -3.07)
Both teams to score 46.02% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.1% (4.464 4.46)49.89% (-4.469 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11% (3.85 3.85)71.89% (-3.854 -3.85)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02% (3.464 3.46)14.97% (-3.469 -3.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.59% (6.209 6.21)43.4% (-6.213 -6.21)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (-1.394 -1.39)45.87% (1.39 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.38% (-1.11 -1.11)81.62% (1.106 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 63.84%
    Dundee United 14.68%
    Draw 21.47%
HeartsDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 13.04% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-0 @ 12.38% (0.66 0.66)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.155 0.15)
3-0 @ 7.84% (1.234 1.23)
3-1 @ 6.11% (0.758 0.76)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.929 0.93)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.638 0.64)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.212 0.21)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.469 0.47)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.214 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.336 0.34)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 63.84%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-1.07 -1.07)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-1.335 -1.34)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 5.35% (-1.293 -1.29)
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.59 -0.59)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.606 -0.61)
1-3 @ 1.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 14.68%

How you voted: Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Hearts
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Dundee United
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-3
Hearts
Levitt (4'), Edwards (65')
Mochrie (68'), Graham (89')
Boyce (44'), Ginnelly (59'), Simms (83')
Boyce (3'), Moore (45+1'), Haring (90+1'), Woodburn (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Dundee Utd
2-2
Hearts
Smith (46'), Clark (57' pen.)
Butcher (32'), McDonald (54'), Graham (82'), McNulty (85')
Boyce (1'), Halkett (81')
Halkett (23'), Simms (39'), Ginnelly (65')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Hearts
5-2
Dundee Utd
Woodburn (22', 50'), Cochrane (25'), Kingsley (76'), McEneff (86')
Edwards (34'), Clark (62')
Siegrist (26'), Fuchs (75'), Edwards (80')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Dundee Utd
0-2
Hearts

Levitt (39'), Robson (44')
Boyce (45+1'), Gnanduillet (90')
Halliday (55'), Baningime (83')
Jul 12, 2019 7.45pm
Group A
Hearts
1-1
Dundee Utd
 Hearts win 5-3 on penalties
Irving (44')
Bozanic (86')
Irving (83')
Shankland (9')
Connolly (37'), Sporle (43'), Bouhenna (55')
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic66002002018
2Aberdeen6600124818
3RangersRangers6411104613
4Motherwell631297210
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd62319729
6St Mirren72231113-28
7Ross County7142712-57
8Dundee61321011-16
9Hibernian612359-45
10St Johnstone7115817-94
11Kilmarnock6033615-93
12Hearts7025412-82
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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