Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tannadice Park
Dundee Utd1 - 0AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Motherwell | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Dundee United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Last Game: Tuzla City 0-4 AZ
Thursday, July 28 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Dundee United 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
Dundee's best chance in this tie is taking advantage of the game at Tannadice, and they will back themselves to earn at least a draw against their higher-quality opponents. However, AZ can only have benefitted from playing in the previous round, leading us to predict an away win on Thursday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
37.25% ( 0.32) | 25.02% ( -0.16) | 37.72% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
