Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.