Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.