Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
57.88% ( -0.06) | 21.66% ( 0.04) | 20.46% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.76% ( -0.19) | 41.24% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.36% ( -0.2) | 63.64% ( 0.2) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( -0.08) | 14% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% ( -0.16) | 41.54% ( 0.16) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.13% ( -0.1) | 33.87% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.46% ( -0.11) | 70.54% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 57.88% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |