Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
44.06% (![]() | 23.85% (![]() | 32.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.68% (![]() | 41.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.29% (![]() | 63.71% (![]() |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.98% (![]() | 19.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.42% (![]() | 50.58% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% (![]() | 25.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% (![]() | 59.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.08% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.35% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 7.58% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 40 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 38 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 38 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 34 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 32 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Montrose | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 27 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 22 |
10 | Dumbarton | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 8 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |