Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
51.62% ( -0.13) | 23.09% ( 0.1) | 25.29% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.78% ( -0.42) | 42.22% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.37% ( -0.42) | 64.63% ( 0.43) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.57% ( -0.2) | 16.43% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.9% ( -0.36) | 46.11% ( 0.37) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -0.2) | 30.17% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% ( -0.24) | 66.33% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |