Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queen of the South in this match.