Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
44.53% ( -0.09) | 25.84% ( 0.03) | 29.64% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.83% ( -0.07) | 51.17% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.99% ( -0.06) | 73.02% ( 0.06) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( -0.08) | 22.91% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% ( -0.11) | 56.67% ( 0.11) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( 0.01) | 31.57% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( 0.01) | 67.97% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |