Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
42.57% ( 0.04) | 26.43% ( 0.01) | 31% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.58% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.99% ( -0.07) | 53.01% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.4% ( -0.06) | 74.6% ( 0.06) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( -0.01) | 24.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.81% ( -0.02) | 59.19% ( 0.02) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( -0.07) | 31.54% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% ( -0.08) | 67.93% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |