Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | East Fife |
56.32% | 22.96% | 20.72% |
Both teams to score 52.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.38% | 46.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.11% | 68.88% |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.64% | 16.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.03% | 45.96% |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.32% | 36.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% | 73.46% |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | East Fife |
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.83% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 5.93% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.21% Total : 56.31% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 6.02% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |