Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
29.26% ( -0.13) | 23.43% ( -0.02) | 47.32% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 60.63% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% ( 0.04) | 40.74% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.88% ( 0.04) | 63.12% ( -0.03) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( -0.07) | 26.53% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( -0.09) | 61.73% ( 0.1) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.53% ( 0.08) | 17.47% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.05% ( 0.13) | 47.95% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 47.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |