Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Raith Rovers3 - 1Montrose
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Raith Rovers and Montrose.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Montrose 2-1 Alloa
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Montrose |
62.81% ( 0.03) | 20.02% ( -0.01) | 17.17% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
