Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 13.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
66.83% ( -0.13) | 19.42% ( 0.06) | 13.74% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.12% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.89% ( -0.12) | 43.1% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.49% ( -0.12) | 65.5% ( 0.12) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.02% ( -0.07) | 11.97% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.61% ( -0.15) | 37.39% ( 0.14) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.94% ( 0.02) | 43.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.66% ( 0.02) | 79.33% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
2-0 @ 11.61% 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 66.83% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |