Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Montrose in this match.