Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.