Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Annan Athletic |
48.05% ( 0.22) | 23.35% ( -0.16) | 28.6% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 60.42% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.19% ( 0.7) | 40.81% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.8% ( 0.71) | 63.19% ( -0.71) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( 0.35) | 17.22% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.49% ( 0.61) | 47.5% ( -0.61) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( 0.31) | 27.01% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% ( 0.41) | 62.36% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Annan Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.02% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |